Volcanoes
are a fascinating subject and this project investigated a key problem: is
it possible to predict an eruption in time to warn local communities?
The
short answer as I discovered was - no it isn’t, but it’s a close run
thing.
My
first stop was Mount St Helens in Washington
State
which famously blew apart in the eighties. I’d seen the same news
reports as everyone else when it happened but did not appreciate the
magnitude of the eruption.
And
that’s the thing about seeing something for yourself. We started getting
some indication of the scale of the blast when we were still 16 miles from
the volcano.
25
years after the event – to the day as it happened – the spruce trees
still lay flattened into the hill side like a giant palm had pressed them
into the ground. We started to imagine the terrifying 600 Deg C blast
tearing down the mountainside when Mount St Helen’s erupted, blowing a
cubic mile of rock and ash into the air.
That’s
like the surface area of
Hyde Park
and a mile downwards blasting into the air at a thousand miles per hour in
a few seconds.
We
met a park ranger who had seen cars and RVs blasted right over the tops of
the hills at the moment the pyroclastic flow smashed into the surrounding
dips and valleys.
Below
where he was standing the valley was 200 feet higher than it had been
before the eruption, plugged by ash and rock which had been blown there or
flowed down as water and ice combined to roar along the course of the
river in a lahar. Bear in mind a cubic metre of water weighs a ton before
you factor in movement and things like rocks carried along in the flow.
There
were still vehicles and their occupants entombed beneath the new valley
floor. They'd either ignored the warnings – and the mile high plume of
ash and smoke which belched out for days before the eruption – or had
been driving towards the mountain at
the time to get a better look.
In
short, it looked like the aftermath of a nuclear explosion and we were
humbled by witnessing its terrible effect for ourselves.
At
the observatory we found dozens of scientists being interviewed by the
media about the 25th anniversary. Many of them had witnessed the eruption
with their own eyes. It was an emotional day and one I’ll never forget.
I
caught up with Don Swanson, the scientist responsible for counting down to
the eruption, at the Kilaeau Volcano Observatory in Hawaii. Don managed to charter a heli for the three days before Mount St
Helens erupted and took gas and temperature readings by flying low over
the mouth of the volcano, which was a big risk in itself.
When
the seismic mini eruptions started to swarm into a continuous boom, he
knew something bad was going to happen and he along with the other
assembled experts told everyone within 20 miles of the volcano to
evacuate. He got me a recording of the sound of an imminent eruption –
you can listen to the chilling sound
of approaching mayhem here.
Mount St
Helens
was and is a very well documented and
observed sleeping giant – it’s rebuilding its dome now because
material continues to be ejected from the caldera where the top and side
of the mountain used to be. The slightest quiver is measured and reported.
The real threat are volcanoes like Merapi in Java which are less well
monitored and which have a large local population attracted to the farming
richness of the volcanic soil.
What
draws people to a permanently dangerous environment from which they have
no hope of escape in the event of a sudden eruption is a whole story in
itself. And remember if Mount Rainier, visible from the Mount St Helens
Observatory, were to erupt under the billions of tons of ice which cover
it, Seattle
would disappear under the biggest lahar ever witnessed.
To
watch video click here.